SportsLine's model simulated San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves 10,000 times and revealed its MLB picks for Wednesday's matchup at Truist Park in Atlanta

The Giants (+148 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Braves (-178). The Atlanta Braves will give the start to Spencer Strider (4-7, 3.59 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Giants will turn to Justin Verlander (0-8, 5.11 ERA).

Y ep, the Atlanta Braves just got done losing another series. They haven’t won a series at home since they swept the Mets last month. If you vaguely take a look at the majority of these series that the Braves have played (and lost) during this season, something resembling a “carrot-and-stick” pattern begins to emerge.